Retrofit feasibility study · London
Semi-detached houses built 1930-1949 in London
The questionAre London's inter-war semis the biggest straightforward retrofit opportunity: how far below C are they, and what do assessors recommend?
86.3% of certified 1930-1949 semi-detached houses in London are rated D or worse, the highest share of the six studies, yet 87.7% of those show a potential of C or better and few face heritage consent.
- Certified houses
- 140,645
- latest certificate per address
- Below band C
- 86.3%
- rated D to G
- Potential C or better
- 87.7%
- of those below C
- In a conservation area
- 3.5%
- 0.1% listed
How the archetype was selected
Latest lodged RdSAP/SAP certificate per London address where property type is House, built form is Semi-Detached, and the construction age band is '1930-1949' or a single year from 1930 to 1949. The register's band runs to 1949, so it includes wartime and early post-war builds as well as inter-war ones.
Key figures
Data month: 2026-09 (lodgements to 2026-09-09). Shares are of the certified addresses in this archetype unless the row says otherwise.
| Band | Certificates | Share |
|---|---|---|
| A to B | 487 | 0.3% |
| C | 18,750 | 13.3% |
| D | 84,464 | 60.1% |
| E | 32,371 | 23.0% |
| F | 3,867 | 2.7% |
| G | 706 | 0.5% |
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Certified houses | 140,645 latest certificates in 140,504 units |
| Below band C (D to G) | 121,408 (86.3%) |
| Below band E (F or G) | 4,573 (3.3%) |
| Certificate within 10-year validity at 22 October 2026 | 64.1% |
| Below C with a potential rating of C or better | 106,523 (87.7% of those below C) |
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| In a conservation area | 4,986 (3.5%) |
| Listed | 82 (0.1%) |
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Solid wall | 79.4% |
| Solid wall, no insulation | 76.9% |
| Cavity wall | 19.5% |
| Cavity wall, unfilled | 12.8% of all |
| Single glazed | 1.8% |
| Mains gas main fuel | 98.5% |
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Tenure recorded | 119,665 (85.1%) |
| Owner-occupied | 77.6% |
| Privately rented | 20,313 (17.0%) |
| Social rented | 5.4% |
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| F or G: below the E floor in law | 140 (0.7%) |
| Below C: the 2030 standard (confirmed policy, not yet law) | 17,104 (84.2%) |
| Borough | Certificates | Below C |
|---|---|---|
| Bexley | 12,868 | 86.6% |
| Barnet | 11,787 | 85.1% |
| Harrow | 11,500 | 85.7% |
| Hillingdon | 10,585 | 85.5% |
| Bromley | 9,602 | 88.8% |
| Recommendation | Code | Certificates | Share | Most common cost text, as lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solar photovoltaic panels, 2.5 kWp | 34 | 137,450 | 97.7% | £3,500 - £5,500 (37.1% of rows) |
| Solar water heating | 19 | 109,962 | 78.2% | £4,000 - £6,000 (71% of rows) |
| 50 mm internal or external wall insulation | 7 | 107,764 | 76.6% | £4,000 - £14,000 (62.6% of rows) |
| Floor insulation (suspended floor) | 57 | 77,483 | 55.1% | £800 - £1,200 (70% of rows) |
| Low energy lighting for all fixed outlets | 35 | 72,555 | 51.6% | £20 (cost text varies by certificate) (6.2% of rows) |
| Upgrade heating controls | 11-15 | 40,461 | 28.8% | £350 - £450 (60.8% of rows) |
| Replace boiler with new condensing boiler | 20 | 35,145 | 25% | £2,200 - £3,000 (60.2% of rows) |
| Increase loft insulation to 270 mm | 5 | 24,241 | 17.2% | £100 - £350 (55% of rows) |
| Cavity wall insulation | 6 | 23,124 | 16.4% | £500 - £1,500 (70.4% of rows) |
Shares count certificates carrying the recommendation; across London, rows are loaded for 79-97% of the latest domestic certificates, depending on lodgement year, so these shares are lower bounds. Cost text is shown exactly as lodged, with the share of rows that carry it. It varies with the register version and is not a current price.
Findings
- 86.3% of the 140,645 certified 1930-1949 semi-detached houses are rated D or worse, the highest share of the six studies. 23.0% are band E.
- 87.7% of the below-C houses show a potential rating of C or better, the highest of the five domestic studies.
- Only 3.5% are in a conservation area and 0.1% are listed, so heritage consent rarely constrains these houses.
- 77.6% were lodged as owner-occupied and 17.0% as privately rented, so MEES reaches few of them. The 17,104 privately rented semis below C (84.2% of them) would be caught by the 2030 band C standard (confirmed policy, not yet law).
- After PV (97.7%) and solar water heating (78.2%), the most frequent fabric recommendations are wall insulation (76.6%, most common cost text '£4,000 - £14,000') and suspended floor insulation (55.1%, '£800 - £1,200').
What it means for feasibility
Consents
Outside conservation areas, external wall insulation on a house can fall within householder permitted development if the finish is similar in appearance to the existing walls. A change of finish (for example render over brick) may need planning permission. Floor, loft and internal measures, controls and boilers need no planning permission. Air-source heat pumps on houses are generally permitted development subject to conditions. 79.4% of walls are lodged as solid brick, and many descriptions are RdSAP 'as built (assumed)' defaults, so wall type should be confirmed by survey before specifying.
Sequencing
- Confirm the wall type by survey first: 79.4% are lodged as solid brick, and many of those descriptions are RdSAP defaults rather than observed construction.
- Loft, floor and internal measures, heating controls and boilers need no planning permission and can be planned straight away.
- Check the finish before choosing external wall insulation: it can be permitted development on a house outside a conservation area if it looks similar to the existing walls, while render over brick may need planning permission.
- Air-source heat pumps on houses are generally permitted development, subject to conditions.
Planning statements are general context for England, not legal advice. Article 4 directions vary by borough and were not checked for these figures.
Sources
- MHCLG Energy Performance of Buildings register, domestic certificates and recommendations, lodgements to 2026-09-09 (non-address fields OGL v3)
- GLA London Building Stock Model, OGL v3, 2026-09-12
- GLA London Datastore Conservation Areas, OGL v3, 2026-09-12
- Historic England NHLE listed-building polygons, OGL v3, 2026-09-12
Data month September 2026.
Building units (GLA London Building Stock Model): Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0 (Greater London Authority / UCL Bartlett Energy Institute and CASA). Contains OS data (c) Crown copyright and database right, published under the Ordnance Survey presumption to publish.
Energy performance certificates (MHCLG register): Energy Performance of Buildings Data England and Wales (c) Crown copyright.
Listed buildings (Historic England): © Historic England 2026. Contains Ordnance Survey data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. The Historic England GIS Data contained in this material was obtained on 12 September 2026. The most publicly available up to date Historic England GIS Data can be obtained from HistoricEngland.org.uk. Licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0.
Conservation areas (GLA London Datastore): Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Method note
Every rating here is certified: the most recently lodged energy performance certificate for each address. Modelled ratings, the GLA’s 2017 estimates for buildings without a certificate, are never averaged in; where a population relies on them they are counted separately. Figures come from read-only queries run on 22 and 23 October 2026. Counts that could identify a building are merged or left out, and no addresses or owner names are published.
- The register's age bands are 1900-1929 and 1930-1949, so a 'pre-1919' archetype and a '1945-1980' archetype could not be isolated. Studies use pre-1930 and 1950-1982 instead, and the 1930-1949 semi study includes wartime and early post-war builds.
- Domestic archetype membership uses facts lodged on each address's latest certificate (property type, built form, age band), so domestic archetype counts are certified addresses by construction and unit-level certified coverage cannot be computed for them. Unit-level coverage is given for heritage-defined populations (conservation-area and listed domestic units) and for non-domestic units.
- Certified means a lodged register certificate (RdSAP/SAP or CEPC). GLA 2017 aggregate rows and modelled (rvEPC) ratings are excluded from every distribution. Modelled ratings appear only as separate counts of units that rely on them.
- The unit of analysis for ratings is the address (UPRN): its most recently lodged certificate, with ties broken as the product does (lodged date, then record order). A stock-model 'unit' can be a whole block, so unit counts and address counts differ. 29.5% of London's latest domestic certificates are past 10 years from lodgement and may predate works since done.
- Numeric domestic recommendation codes are labelled with the register's own summary text, taken from certificates BuildGrade holds with both code and text. This assumes a code means the same across register versions. Code 7's current register text reads '50 mm internal or external wall insulation', and older certificates phrase it differently. Hot-water-cylinder codes 2 and 3 were left out of the top-measure lists.
- Recommendation rows are loaded for 79-97% of the latest domestic certificates and 97-99% of the latest non-domestic certificates, depending on lodgement year (some certificates carry no recommendations), so recommendation shares are lower bounds.
- Cost text is reported exactly as lodged and varies with register version (PV, for example, carries '£3,500 - £5,500', '£5,000 - £8,000' and '£9,000 - £14,000'), so the most common text and its share of rows is given. The texts are not current prices. Lighting cost text varies per certificate (most common share under 15%). Non-domestic recommendations carry a payback category (SHORT, MEDIUM, LONG, OTHER), not a £ cost.
- Heritage flags are spatial matches applied to the whole stock-model unit: listed means the centroid is within 5 m of an NHLE polygon or the footprint overlaps one by at least half; conservation area means the centroid is inside a GLA polygon. Every flat in a flagged block inherits the flag, so listed counts can be over or under. Listed matches: 10,294 domestic units by centroid and 5,551 by footprint.
- Tenure is as recorded at lodgement and may have changed since. Certificates with unknown or blank tenure are excluded from tenure shares (tenure-known share given per study). The MEES counts are screening counts, not compliance findings, and exemptions are not modelled.
- MEES status. Domestic: the E floor is law for private lets (since April 2020); band C by 2030 is confirmed policy, not yet law (government response 21 January 2026; needs legislation, and compliance is to be judged on reformed EPC metrics). Non-domestic: the E floor is law (since April 2023); the 2027 C milestone is not being taken forward, and B by 2030 was revised on 18 June 2026 to B from 2031 for buildings over 1,000 m², where cost-effective, which is not yet law. These are BuildGrade's recorded policy positions; check the current government position before relying on them.
- Wall descriptions marked 'as built ... (assumed)' are RdSAP defaults where the assessor could not verify the construction (for example 79.4% of 1930-1949 semis lodged as solid brick). Treat them as lodged descriptions, not survey findings.
- The potential rating on a certificate assumes every recommended measure is installed, including measures that may need planning permission or listed building consent, so 'potential C or better' is an upper bound on what is consentable.
- Consent statements (permitted development, conservation-area cladding, listed building consent, flats lacking householder rights) are general planning context for England, not legal advice, and are not computed from the database. Article 4 directions vary by borough and were not queried.
- London only: units outside the 33 London local authorities were not used. Other UK cities are in preparation; the Bristol and Cardiff pilots are not yet live.